Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 47.14%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.58%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Montrose win was 2-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.