Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 48.09%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 28.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montrose would win this match.
Result | ||
Montrose | Draw | Queen of the South |
48.09% ( 0.08) | 23.51% ( -0.03) | 28.4% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 59.72% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.33% ( 0.11) | 41.67% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.93% ( 0.1) | 64.08% ( -0.1) |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.47% ( 0.07) | 17.53% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.94% ( 0.12) | 48.06% ( -0.12) |
Queen of the South Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.41% ( 0.02) | 27.59% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.89% ( 0.02) | 63.11% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Montrose | Draw | Queen of the South |
2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.42% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.33% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.48% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.39% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.86% Total : 48.09% | 1-1 @ 10.84% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.5% | 1-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.88% Total : 28.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Kelty Hearts | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 22 |
2 | Arbroath | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 21 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
6 | Montrose | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 18 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 26 | -16 | 14 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Dumbarton | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 0 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |