Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 36.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.35%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
Result | ||
Motherwell | Draw | Hibernian |
39.19% ( 0.03) | 24.06% ( -0.01) | 36.75% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 61.2% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.8% ( 0.04) | 41.19% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.41% ( 0.05) | 63.58% ( -0.05) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.84% ( 0.03) | 21.15% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.98% ( 0.05) | 54.01% ( -0.06) |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.62% ( 0) | 22.37% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.13% ( 0.01) | 55.87% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Motherwell | Draw | Hibernian |
2-1 @ 8.55% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.71% 3-1 @ 4.43% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.96% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 2.73% Total : 39.19% | 1-1 @ 11% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.4% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( 0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.05% | 1-2 @ 8.24% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.11% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.2% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.65% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.54% 2-4 @ 1.2% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 36.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 20 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 55 | 7 | 48 | 53 |
2 | RangersRangers | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 40 |
3 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 34 |
4 | Aberdeen | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 34 |
5 | Motherwell | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 30 |
6 | St Mirren | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 27 |
7 | Hibernian | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 26 |
8 | Dundee | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 25 |
9 | Ross County | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 25 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 24 |
11 | Hearts | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 23 |
12 | St Johnstone | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 15 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |