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Ross County
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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 38
May 19, 2024 at 3pm UK
Fir Park
St Johnstone logo

Motherwell
1 - 2
St Johnstone

Ebiye (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Clark (18'), Sidibeh (45+1')
Keltjens (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and St Johnstone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hibernian 3-0 Motherwell
Wednesday, May 15 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Johnstone 1-1 Ross County
Wednesday, May 15 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Motherwell 1-2 St Johnstone

With so much on the line for St Johnstone, they will likely be able to pull out an important three points here, even though it is guaranteed to be a close game. Whether that victory is enough to guarantee their Scottish Premiership status for another year will remain to be seen though. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 48.7%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 26.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for St Johnstone in this match.

Result
MotherwellDrawSt Johnstone
48.7% (0.191 0.19) 24.38% (0.041 0.04) 26.93% (-0.226 -0.23)
Both teams to score 55.58% (-0.318 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.39% (-0.334 -0.33)46.61% (0.339 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.12% (-0.316 -0.32)68.88% (0.321 0.32)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.79% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)19.21% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.11% (-0.089000000000006 -0.09)50.9% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.79% (-0.346 -0.35)31.21% (0.352 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.45% (-0.407 -0.41)67.56% (0.41200000000001 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 48.7%
    St Johnstone 26.93%
    Draw 24.37%
MotherwellDrawSt Johnstone
1-0 @ 9.89% (0.123 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.16% (0.087 0.09)
3-1 @ 5.23% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 4.49% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.16% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.85% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 48.7%
1-1 @ 11.51% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6% (0.085 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.37%
0-1 @ 6.98% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.71% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.6% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.58% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 26.93%

How you voted: Motherwell vs St Johnstone

Motherwell
41.7%
Draw
0.0%
St Johnstone
58.3%
12
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 23
St Johnstone
1-1
Motherwell
McGowan (3')
Smith (76'), Phillips (90+2')
Bair (29')
Kelly (4'), Zdravkovski (45'), Halliday (45+5')
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Motherwell
1-1
St Johnstone
Biereth (90+2')
Mugabi (53' og.)
Nov 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
St Johnstone
2-2
Motherwell
Clark (17'), Considine (27')
Phillips (43')
Blaney (68'), Biereth (74')
Slattery (37'), Paton (47')
May 13, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
St Johnstone
0-2
Motherwell
Van Veen (52' pen.), Mandron (90+3')
Furlong (36')
Feb 1, 2023 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1312104043637
2Aberdeen14103129161333
3RangersRangers13823189926
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd146532114723
5Motherwell136161619-319
6St Mirren155371925-618
7Dundee144462326-316
8Ross County153661227-1515
9St Johnstone1541101728-1113
10Kilmarnock143471627-1113
11Hibernian152671825-712
12Hearts152491625-910


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