Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 7
Apr 6, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Nacional1 - 0Cerro Largo
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Cerro Largo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nacional 2-0 Libertad
Wednesday, April 3 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, April 3 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Cerro Largo 0-2 Racing
Friday, March 29 at 3.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Friday, March 29 at 3.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 60.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 15.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.1%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Cerro Largo win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nacional in this match.
Result | ||
Nacional | Draw | Cerro Largo |
60.3% ( -0.13) | 24.27% ( 0.07) | 15.42% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 40.12% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.15% ( -0.16) | 58.85% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.64% ( -0.13) | 79.35% ( 0.12) |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.6% ( -0.11) | 19.4% ( 0.11) |