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Ligue 1
Nantes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33
May 12, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Lille

Nantes
1 - 2
Lille

Abline (54')
Mohamed (33'), Lafont (44'), Pallois (60'), Sissoko (74')
FT(HT: 0-2)
David (8', 11')
Zhegrova (44'), Bentaleb (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

All competitions
Last Game: Brest 0-0 Nantes
Saturday, May 4 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Lille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 3-4 Lyon
Monday, May 6 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Nantes 0-2 Lille

 Lille's powers of recovery after suffering a defeat have been a cornerstone of their success this season, while Nantes cannot buy a point let alone a win at home and do not strike fear into the hearts of opposing defences. The hosts' rearguard action against Brest was admirable, and Fonseca's attacking ranks have been decimated over the past week, but the visitors should still find a way through to all but confirm their Champions League status. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 59.95%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 17.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.84%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-0 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
NantesDrawLille
17.86% (0.0040000000000013 0) 22.19% (0.0040000000000013 0) 59.95% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.59% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)47.41% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.37% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)69.63% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)40.25% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.12% (0.0010000000000012 0)76.88% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)15.4% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.78% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)44.22% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Nantes 17.86%
    Lille 59.94%
    Draw 22.19%
NantesDrawLille
1-0 @ 5.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 4.8%
2-0 @ 2.57% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 1.46%
3-2 @ 1.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 17.86%
1-1 @ 10.55%
0-0 @ 6.2% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 4.49%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 22.19%
0-1 @ 11.59%
0-2 @ 10.84%
1-2 @ 9.87% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 6.76% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 6.16% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-4 @ 3.16% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 2.88% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.8%
2-4 @ 1.31%
0-5 @ 1.18% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-5 @ 1.08% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 59.94%

How you voted: Nantes vs Lille

Nantes
16.7%
Draw
19.0%
Lille
64.3%
42
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 2
Lille
2-0
Nantes
David (66'), Ounas (90+4')
Alexsandro (78')

Pallois (32'), Castelletto (47')
> Preview
May 27, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 37
Lille
2-1
Nantes
David (51' pen., 88' pen.)
Balepa (44'), David (89')
Merlin (17')
Castelletto (36'), Victor (79'), Mohamed (86'), Blas (87')
> Preview
Aug 12, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 2
Nantes
1-1
Lille
Simon (28')
Girotto (90')
Ismaily (76')
Zedadka (14'), Djalo (18'), Fonte (18'), Andre (37')
> Preview
Mar 19, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 29
Nantes
0-1
Lille

Moutoussamy (53'), Blas (81'), Da Silva (86')
Onana (41')
Xeka (15'), Andre (64'), Bamba (79'), Bradaric (86')
Weah (64')
> Preview
Nov 27, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 15
Lille
1-1
Nantes
Yilmaz (9')
Onana (62')
Blas (24')
Girotto (21'), Blas (48')
Da Silva (78')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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