Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 60.22%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 17.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.02%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-0 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
Result | ||
Nantes | Draw | Lyon |
17.57% ( -0.12) | 22.22% ( -0.26) | 60.22% ( 0.38) |
Both teams to score 49.93% ( 0.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.05% ( 0.91) | 47.95% ( -0.9) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.88% ( 0.83) | 70.13% ( -0.83) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.09% ( 0.4) | 40.92% ( -0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.52% ( 0.36) | 77.48% ( -0.35) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.5% ( 0.44) | 15.5% ( -0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.61% ( 0.81) | 44.4% ( -0.81) |
Score Analysis |
Nantes | Draw | Lyon |
1-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 4.72% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.93% Total : 17.57% | 1-1 @ 10.56% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.91% Total : 22.21% | 0-1 @ 11.82% ( -0.27) 0-2 @ 11.02% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 9.85% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 6.85% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 6.12% ( 0.11) 0-4 @ 3.19% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 2.85% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.05) 0-5 @ 1.19% ( 0.04) 1-5 @ 1.06% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.25% Total : 60.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |