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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Nantes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28
Apr 7, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Lyon

Nantes
1 - 3
Lyon

Abline (16')
Comert (18'), Kombouare (19'), Mohamed (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lacazette (75'), Fofana (77'), Orban (90+7')
Lacazette (53'), Nuamah (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nice 1-2 Nantes
Sunday, March 31 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 3-0 Valenciennes
Tuesday, April 2 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France

We said: Nantes 0-1 Lyon

One game is not enough to convince us that Nantes have fixed their defensive deficiencies, and they will be in tough against a Lyon side in fine form, who are brimming with confidence away from home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 60.22%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 17.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.02%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-0 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
NantesDrawLyon
17.57% (-0.117 -0.12) 22.22% (-0.261 -0.26) 60.22% (0.38399999999999 0.38)
Both teams to score 49.93% (0.595 0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.05% (0.909 0.91)47.95% (-0.904 -0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.88% (0.832 0.83)70.13% (-0.82600000000001 -0.83)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.09% (0.401 0.4)40.92% (-0.395 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.52% (0.356 0.36)77.48% (-0.351 -0.35)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.5% (0.44000000000001 0.44)15.5% (-0.435 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.61% (0.81 0.81)44.4% (-0.805 -0.81)
Score Analysis
    Nantes 17.57%
    Lyon 60.22%
    Draw 22.21%
NantesDrawLyon
1-0 @ 5.67% (-0.152 -0.15)
2-1 @ 4.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 2.53% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-1 @ 1.41% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.31% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 17.57%
1-1 @ 10.56% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 6.34% (-0.241 -0.24)
2-2 @ 4.4% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 22.21%
0-1 @ 11.82% (-0.27 -0.27)
0-2 @ 11.02% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 9.85% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-3 @ 6.85% (0.052 0.05)
1-3 @ 6.12% (0.112 0.11)
0-4 @ 3.19% (0.07 0.07)
1-4 @ 2.85% (0.094 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.74% (0.079 0.08)
2-4 @ 1.28% (0.055 0.05)
0-5 @ 1.19% (0.043 0.04)
1-5 @ 1.06% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 60.22%

How you voted: Nantes vs Lyon

Nantes
12.3%
Draw
20.0%
Lyon
67.7%
65
Head to Head
Dec 20, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 17
Lyon
1-0
Nantes
Lacazette (49')
Tagliafico (90+7')
Lovren (84')

Centonze (8'), Duverne (31')
Apr 5, 2023 8.10pm
Semi-Finals
Nantes
1-0
Lyon
Blas (57')
Mar 17, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 28
Lyon
1-1
Nantes
Lacazette (24')
Lukeba (2' og.)
Jan 11, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 18
Nantes
0-0
Lyon
May 14, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 37
Lyon
3-2
Nantes
Dembele (9'), Paqueta (78'), Tete (85')
Ndombele (61')
Merlin (81'), Cyprien (90+2')
Kombouare (55')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239


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