Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 51.3%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 24.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Atalanta BC |
51.3% ( 0.07) | 24.33% ( -0.01) | 24.37% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 53.28% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.52% ( -0.03) | 48.47% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.39% ( -0.02) | 70.6% ( 0.02) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.1% ( 0.01) | 18.89% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.62% ( 0.02) | 50.38% ( -0.02) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.69% ( -0.07) | 34.3% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.99% ( -0.07) | 71% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Atalanta BC |
1-0 @ 10.79% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.35% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 3.17% Total : 51.29% | 1-1 @ 11.55% 0-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.32% | 0-1 @ 6.93% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.18% Total : 24.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 53 |
2 | Inter Milan | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 55 | 18 | 37 | 50 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 48 | 25 | 23 | 46 |
4 | Lazio | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 22 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 22 | 13 | 36 |
7 | AC Milan | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 34 |
8 | Bologna | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 34 |
9 | Roma | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 30 |
10 | Torino | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 26 |
11 | Udinese | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 26 |
12 | Genoa | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 26 |
13 | Como | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 22 |
14 | Empoli | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 21 |
16 | Parma | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 20 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 20 |
18 | Lecce | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 40 | -25 | 20 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 16 |
20 | Monza | 22 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |