Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 60.37%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 18.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 1-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for an Atalanta BC win it was 1-2 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Napoli in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Napoli.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Atalanta BC |
60.37% ( 0.57) | 20.83% ( -0.09) | 18.8% ( -0.48) |
Both teams to score 56.9% ( -0.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.14% ( -0.36) | 39.85% ( 0.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.79% ( -0.38) | 62.21% ( 0.38) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.19% ( 0.05) | 12.81% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.86% ( 0.11) | 39.13% ( -0.1) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.26% ( -0.72) | 34.74% ( 0.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.53% ( -0.76) | 71.47% ( 0.77) |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Atalanta BC |
2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.19) 1-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.61% Total : 60.37% | 1-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.83% | 1-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.85% Total : 18.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 25 |
2 | Inter Milan | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 24 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 22 |
4 | Fiorentina | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 22 |
5 | Lazio | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 22 |
6 | Juventus | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 21 |
7 | AC Milan | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
8 | Udinese | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 |
9 | Bologna | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Torino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 14 |
11 | Empoli | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 13 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 12 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 9 |
15 | Genoa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 9 |
16 | Como | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Parma | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 9 |
18 | Monza | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 8 |
20 | Lecce | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 20 | -16 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |