MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 17:37:13| >> :600:397989:397989:
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Champions League
Napoli logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 12, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Braga

Napoli
2 - 0
Braga

Saatci (9' og.), Osimhen (33')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Banza (19'), Mendes (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Napoli and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Juventus 1-0 Napoli
Friday, December 8 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Braga

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Vizela 1-3 Braga
Friday, December 8 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Napoli 2-2 Braga

 Napoli are a difficult team to back at the moment, even on home soil. It would be a shock to see Braga secure the result that they need in order to finish second, but we are expecting the visitors to claim a point, which would guarantee their spot in the Europa League knockout round playoffs. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Braga had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.9%) and 2-0 (5.27%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
NapoliDrawBraga
42.12% (0.267 0.27) 22.53% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 35.35% (-0.283 -0.28)
Both teams to score 66.84% (-0.125 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.23% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)33.77% (0.137 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.4% (-0.156 -0.16)55.6% (0.154 0.15)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.25% (0.052000000000007 0.05)16.74% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.33% (0.090000000000003 0.09)46.67% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.28% (-0.2 -0.2)19.72% (0.2 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.27% (-0.325 -0.33)51.73% (0.32400000000001 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 42.12%
    Braga 35.35%
    Draw 22.53%
NapoliDrawBraga
2-1 @ 8.56% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
1-0 @ 5.9% (0.052 0.05)
2-0 @ 5.27% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.1% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 4.14% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.14% (0.038 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.28% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.4% (0.019 0.02)
4-3 @ 1% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 42.12%
1-1 @ 9.58% (0.025 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.95% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.3% (0.023 0.02)
3-3 @ 2.24% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 22.53%
1-2 @ 7.78% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.36% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 4.35% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.21% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.76% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.36% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.71% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.53% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-4 @ 0.96% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-4 @ 0.91% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 35.35%

How you voted: Napoli vs Braga

Napoli
64.6%
Draw
20.0%
Braga
15.4%
130
Head to Head
Sep 20, 2023 8pm
Group Stage
Braga
1-2
Napoli
Bruma (84')
Djalo (44'), Fonte (55'), Borja (66')
Di Lorenzo (45+1'), Niakate (88' og.)
Zambo Anguissa (19'), Osimhen (41'), Politano (56'), Raspadori (79'), Olivera (86'), Jesus (90+3')
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