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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12
Dec 3, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Estoril

Braga
3 - 1
Estoril

Horta (31'), Banza (51'), Carne (90' og.)
Fonte (26'), Moutinho (76')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Guitane (24')
Pina (42'), Feltes (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Braga 1-1 Union Berlin
Wednesday, November 29 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Estoril 2-1 Mafra
Sunday, November 26 at 5pm in Taca de Portugal

We said: Braga 2-1 Estoril Praia

Braga put in a huge effort to earn a point off Union Berlin on Wednesday, but the hosts should be able to rotate their side to good effect on Sunday. Estoril are enjoying a slight upturn in form but have been largely unconvincing on the road this term, and we expect that theme to continue in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 65.57%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 15.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 1-0 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.68%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-2 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
BragaDrawEstoril Praia
65.57% (-1.163 -1.16) 18.88% (0.303 0.3) 15.55% (0.862 0.86)
Both teams to score 56.84% (1.123 1.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.36% (0.409 0.41)36.64% (-0.407 -0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.2% (0.444 0.44)58.8% (-0.443 -0.44)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.55% (-0.173 -0.17)10.45% (0.175 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.94% (-0.398 -0.4)34.06% (0.4 0.4)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.48% (1.374 1.37)36.52% (-1.374 -1.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.69% (1.36 1.36)73.31% (-1.358 -1.36)
Score Analysis
    Braga 65.57%
    Estoril Praia 15.55%
    Draw 18.88%
BragaDrawEstoril Praia
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.74% (-0.345 -0.35)
1-0 @ 8.62% (-0.239 -0.24)
3-1 @ 7.38% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 7.33% (-0.318 -0.32)
4-1 @ 4.17% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-0 @ 4.14% (-0.212 -0.21)
3-2 @ 3.72% (0.118 0.12)
4-2 @ 2.1% (0.052 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.88% (-0.038 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.87% (-0.11 -0.11)
5-2 @ 0.95% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 65.57%
1-1 @ 8.68% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.94% (0.193 0.19)
0-0 @ 3.82% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.084 0.08)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 18.88%
1-2 @ 4.37% (0.202 0.2)
0-1 @ 3.85% (0.066 0.07)
0-2 @ 1.94% (0.103 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.123 0.12)
1-3 @ 1.47% (0.119 0.12)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 15.55%

How you voted: Braga vs Estoril

Braga
100%
Draw
0.0%
Estoril Praia
0.0%
12
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 27
Braga
4-1
Estoril
Ruiz (17'), Pizzi (70'), Medeiros (82' pen.), Mendes (90+4')
Eduardo (48')
Oct 22, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 10
Estoril
0-2
Braga
Elmusrati (10'), Oliveira (31')
Apr 18, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 30
Estoril
0-0
Braga
Gamboa (90')
Dec 5, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 13
Braga
2-0
Estoril
Horta (34', 39')
Oliveira (13'), Silva (15'), Mineiro (20'), Gorby (81'), Silva (90+6')
Mineiro (65')

Fonte (49'), Soria (57'), Baro (71')
Mar 3, 2018 8.30pm
Estoril
0-6
Braga

Kleber (22'), Allano (47'), Dankler (89')
Eduardo (7'), Paulinho (44', 68'), Horta (45', 93'), Martins (77')
Silva (36')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon18142251143744
2Benfica18132342113141
3Porto18131441142740
4Braga18104431191234
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1810172019131
6Casa Pia187652222027
7Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes186842824426
8MoreirenseMoreirense186572225-323
9Gil Vicente185762227-522
10Estoril PraiaEstoril185672130-921
11FamalicaoFamalicao184862024-420
12Rio AveRio Ave185581831-1320
13Nacional185491624-819
14Estrela Amadora1844101630-1416
15AroucaArouca1844101530-1516
16SC FarenseFarense183691123-1215
17AVS182971427-1315
18BoavistaBoavista1826101329-1612


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