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Serie A
Napoli logo
Serie A | Gameweek 3
Aug 31, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Parma logo

Napoli
2 - 1
Parma

Lukaku (90+2'), Zambo Anguissa (90+6')
Zambo Anguissa (43'), Conte (59'), Lobotka (58')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bonny (19' pen.)
Mihaila (61'), Suzuki (63'), Del Prato (88')
Suzuki (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Parma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 3-0 Bologna
Sunday, August 25 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Parma

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Parma 2-1 AC Milan
Saturday, August 24 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Napoli 1-1 Parma

 Napoli and Parma have drawn only one of their last 17 Serie A meetings, but a share of the spoils could be on the cards this weekend. The hosts are still a work in progress under a demanding new manager, while Fabio Pecchia's promotion-winners have momentum on their side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 61%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Parma had a probability of 17.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Parma win it was 0-1 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
NapoliDrawParma
61% (2.503 2.5) 21.08% (-1.104 -1.1) 17.91% (-1.4 -1.4)
Both teams to score 54.3% (1.097 1.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.53% (2.718 2.72)42.47% (-2.721 -2.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.12% (2.659 2.66)64.88% (-2.661 -2.66)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.55% (1.676 1.68)13.45% (-1.677 -1.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.56% (3.261 3.26)40.44% (-3.263 -3.26)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.73% (0.054000000000002 0.05)37.27% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.95% (0.055 0.05)74.05% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 60.99%
    Parma 17.91%
    Draw 21.08%
NapoliDrawParma
2-0 @ 10.08% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 10.05% (-0.61 -0.61)
2-1 @ 9.96% (0.032 0.03)
3-0 @ 6.75% (0.406 0.41)
3-1 @ 6.66% (0.41 0.41)
4-0 @ 3.38% (0.389 0.39)
4-1 @ 3.34% (0.389 0.39)
3-2 @ 3.29% (0.207 0.21)
4-2 @ 1.65% (0.194 0.19)
5-0 @ 1.36% (0.227 0.23)
5-1 @ 1.34% (0.226 0.23)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 60.99%
1-1 @ 9.93% (-0.583 -0.58)
0-0 @ 5.01% (-0.633 -0.63)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.023 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.08%
0-1 @ 4.95% (-0.617 -0.62)
1-2 @ 4.9% (-0.281 -0.28)
0-2 @ 2.44% (-0.3 -0.3)
2-3 @ 1.62% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.61% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 17.91%

How you voted: Napoli vs Parma

Napoli
70.8%
Draw
21.7%
Parma
7.5%
106
Head to Head
Jan 31, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 20
Napoli
2-0
Parma
Elmas (32'), Politano (82')
Demme (71'), Elmas (75')

Gagliolo (5'), Pezzella (31'), Conti (71'), Brugman (76')
> Preview
Sep 20, 2020 11.30am
Gameweek 1
Parma
0-2
Napoli

Darmian (36'), Alves (59'), Pezzella (73'), Kucka (75')
Mertens (63'), Insigne (77')
Demme (35')
> Preview
Jul 22, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 35
Parma
2-1
Napoli
Caprari (45+3' pen.), Kulusevski (87' pen.)
Grassi (53'), Brugman (90+2'), Iacoponi (90+3')
Insigne (54' pen.)
Lozano (35')
> Preview
Dec 14, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 16
Napoli
1-2
Parma
Milik (64')
Mertens (79'), Milik (81')
Kulusevski (4'), Gervinho (93')
Gervinho (9'), Gagliolo (63')
Feb 24, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 25
Parma
0-4
Napoli

Rigoni (28'), Gagliolo (85')
Zielinski (19'), Milik (36', 73'), Ounas (82')
Milik (38')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta18132343202341
2Napoli18132327121541
3Inter Milan17124145153040
4Lazio1811253325835
5Fiorentina1795331151632
6Juventus18711030151532
7Bologna177732521428
8AC Milan177642617927
9Udinese187382328-524
10Roma185582424020
11Torino185581924-520
12Empoli184771721-419
13Genoa184771627-1119
14Parma184682534-918
15Como184682030-1018
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1860122442-1818
17Lecce1844101131-2016
18CagliariCagliari1835101631-1514
19VeneziaVenezia1834111731-1413
20Monza1817101625-910
> Serie A Full Table


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