MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 07:40:44| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
NEC
Eredivisie | Gameweek 14
Dec 1, 2024 at 3.45pm UK
Sportpark De Weeren
Ajax

Nijmegen
1 - 2
Ajax

Hansen (13')
Sano (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Weghorst (15', 48')
Rensch (31'), Weghorst (51'), Gaaei (69'), Hato (74'), Kaplan (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NEC

All competitions
Last Game: Nijmegen 1-2 Utrecht
Sunday, November 24 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Ajax

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Real Sociedad 2-0 Ajax
Thursday, November 28 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: NEC 1-2 Ajax

 NEC have been steadily improving recently, but Ajax have been in full flow for several weeks now, and we feel the visitors will extend their unbeaten run in the top flight to 11 in a row with a victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for NEC had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.58%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest NEC win was 2-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Ajax in this match.

Result
NECDrawAjax
32.07% (-0.469 -0.47) 22.67% (-0.109 -0.11) 45.25% (0.572 0.57)
Both teams to score 65.08% (0.19099999999999 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.41% (0.33799999999999 0.34)35.58% (-0.345 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.36% (0.374 0.37)57.64% (-0.382 -0.38)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.72% (-0.102 -0.1)22.28% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.27% (-0.147 -0.15)55.73% (0.141 0.14)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.73% (0.34899999999999 0.35)16.26% (-0.357 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.2% (0.632 0.63)45.8% (-0.639 -0.64)
Score Analysis
    NEC 32.07%
    Ajax 45.25%
    Draw 22.67%
NECDrawAjax
2-1 @ 7.42% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-0 @ 5.44% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-0 @ 4.08% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
3-1 @ 3.71% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.37% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.04% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.39% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 32.07%
1-1 @ 9.88% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-2 @ 6.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.62% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-3 @ 2.04% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.67%
1-2 @ 8.97% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
0-1 @ 6.58% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.98% (0.039 0.04)
1-3 @ 5.43% (0.084 0.08)
2-3 @ 4.08% (0.052 0.05)
0-3 @ 3.62% (0.066 0.07)
1-4 @ 2.47% (0.067 0.07)
2-4 @ 1.85% (0.045 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.64% (0.049 0.05)
3-4 @ 0.93% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 45.25%

How you voted: Nijmegen vs Ajax

NEC
12.2%
Draw
17.1%
Ajax
70.7%
41
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 22
Ajax
2-2
Nijmegen
Brobbey (7'), Borges (79')
Brobbey (67'), Hlynsson (87')
Hato (61' og.), Rober (90+5')
> Preview
Dec 3, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 14
Nijmegen
1-2
Ajax
Tavsan (90')
Hlynsson (57'), Borges (88')
> Preview
Mar 5, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 24
Ajax
1-0
Nijmegen
Kudus (52')
> Preview
Jan 8, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 15
Nijmegen
1-1
Ajax
Dimata (52')
Klaassen (38')
> Preview
Apr 23, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 27
Nijmegen
0-1
Ajax

Schone (55'), Guth (59')
Brobbey (88')
Blind (53')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237
> Eredivisie Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!