MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 22:28:21| >> :300:86500:86500:
Liga MX | Gameweek 2
Jul 14, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes

Necaxa
4 - 1
Puebla

Palavecino (11'), Cambindo (15', 52'), Rosero (76')
Arce (36'), Paradela (80')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Duran (87')
Manuel de la Torre Menchaca (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Liga MX clash between Necaxa and Puebla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Necaxa

All competitions
Last Game: Tigres 1-0 Necaxa
Sunday, July 7 at 2am in Liga MX

Puebla

All competitions
Last Game: Puebla 1-0 Santos Laguna
Friday, July 5 at 11.45pm in Liga MX

We said: Necaxa 1-1 Puebla

 The last six meetings between these two sides have seen the home team fail to win, and we expect this trend to continue on Sunday, given Necaxa's recent inconsistency at home. Puebla also look like a rejuvenated side, and they have not lost on their last four visits to Necaxa. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 46.42%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 28.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Puebla win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Necaxa would win this match.

Result
NecaxaDrawPuebla
46.42% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 25.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 28.29% (-0.026 -0.03)
Both teams to score 53.68% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.42% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)49.58% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.39% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)71.61% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.63% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)21.37% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.65% (0.013000000000005 0.01)54.35% (-0.012 -0.01)
Puebla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.26% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)31.73% (0.025000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.84% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)68.16% (0.029000000000011 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Necaxa 46.42%
    Puebla 28.29%
    Draw 25.28%
NecaxaDrawPuebla
1-0 @ 10.46% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.27% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.08% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.77% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.6% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 46.42%
1-1 @ 12.01%
0-0 @ 6.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.28%
0-1 @ 7.78% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 6.89% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.47% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.64% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.71% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 28.29%

How you voted: Necaxa vs Puebla

Necaxa
25.0%
Draw
50.0%
Puebla
25.0%
8
Head to Head
Jan 20, 2024 1am
Gameweek 2
Puebla
1-2
Necaxa
Cavallini (59' pen.)
Olmedo (90+4')
Mendez (79'), Cambindo (83')
Arce (27'), Montes (56'), Colorado (81')
Oct 9, 2023 12am
Gameweek 12
Necaxa
1-2
Puebla
Mendez (55')
Jurado (33'), Garnica (83'), Arce (88'), Poggi (90+4')
Samudio (89')
Martinez (12'), De Buen (36')
Silva (41'), Velasco (60')
Apr 15, 2023 2.05am
Gameweek 15
Necaxa
1-1
Puebla
Aug 17, 2022 3.05am
Gameweek 9
Puebla
2-2
Necaxa
Barragan (15'), Cortizo (64')
Batista (54'), Oliveros (83')
Apr 23, 2022 1am
Gameweek 16
Puebla
0-1
Necaxa
Mancuello (23'), Herrera Rodriguez (53'), Gularte (59'), Segovia (86')
Garcia (66'), Aguirre (84'), Formiliano (88'), Batista (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul17133139122742
2TolucaToluca17105238162235
3Tigres17104325151034
4PumasPumas179442113831
5MonterreyMonterrey179442619731
6Atletico San Luis179352719830
7Club TijuanaTijuana178542425-129
8Club AmericaAmerica178362721627
9CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara177462415925
10Atlas175751723-622
11Club Leon173952123-218
12Juarez1752102236-1417
13NecaxaNecaxa173682026-615
14MazatlanMazatlan172871019-914
15PueblaPuebla1742111731-1414
16PachucaPachuca1734102029-913
17QueretaroQueretaro1733111331-1812
18Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1724111230-1810
> Liga MX Full Table


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