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Championship header 2

League Two
Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 42
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Rodney Parade
Crawley Town

Newport
0 - 4
Crawley


Charsley (81')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Conroy (1'), Darcy (26'), Maguire (69'), Campbell (90+1')
Addai (17'), Williams (45+4'), Roles (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Newport County and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
Last Game: Colchester 2-1 Newport
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last Game: Crawley 0-2 Doncaster
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Newport County 1-1 Crawley Town

 There should be plenty of urgency from both sides given that each are still in the hunt for a playoff berth, but we do not believe either team will have a decisive edge on Monday, seeing as only four points currently separate them in the standings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.41%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest Newport County win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crawley Town would win this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawCrawley Town
36.43% (0.058 0.06) 24.07% (0.004999999999999 0) 39.49% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)
Both teams to score 61.12% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.7% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)41.29% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.31% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)63.69% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.42% (0.022000000000006 0.02)22.58% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.82% (0.033000000000001 0.03)56.18% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.94% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)21.05% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.14% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)53.86% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 36.43%
    Crawley Town 39.49%
    Draw 24.07%
Newport CountyDrawCrawley Town
2-1 @ 8.2% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.07% (0.011 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.26% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.07% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.61% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.51% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 0.97% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 36.43%
1-1 @ 11.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.39% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.75% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.65% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.07%
1-2 @ 8.59% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.41% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 5.77% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.46% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.32% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 3% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.74% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 39.49%

How you voted: Newport vs Crawley

Newport County
50.0%
Draw
50.0%
Crawley Town
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 7
Crawley
4-1
Newport
Tsaroulla (5'), Campbell (54', 67'), Gladwin (79')
Campbell (64'), Williams (90+7')
Bogle (10')
Bogle (90+7')
> Preview
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Newport
2-2
Crawley
Dolan (83'), Zanzala (90+2')
Telford (36', 67')
> Preview
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Crawley
2-1
Newport
Tilley (40'), Nadesan (57')
Moriah-Welsh (79')
> Preview
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
Newport
1-2
Crawley
Waite (59')
Waite (19')
Nadesan (15'), Francillette (21')
> Preview
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Crawley
1-1
Newport
Appiah (55')
Appiah (56'), Nadesan (77')
Telford (84')
Norman (11'), Clarke (74'), Upson (75'), Fisher (88'), Lewis (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall23164343202352
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe24119433221142
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Tranmere RoversTranmere2367101732-1525
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Swindon TownSwindon2559113141-1024
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918
> League Two Full Table


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