Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 22
Jan 14, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park
Newtown1 - 2Pen-y-Bont
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Pen-y-Bont.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: New Saints 2-1 Newtown
Saturday, January 4 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, January 4 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 1-0 Connah's Quay
Saturday, January 4 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, January 4 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
40
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 62.96%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 17.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.86%) and 0-1 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.75%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 2-1 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Pen-y-Bont in this match.
Result | ||
Newtown AFC | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
17.62% ( -0.12) | 19.42% ( -0.07) | 62.96% ( 0.18) |
Both teams to score 59.68% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.85% ( 0.12) | 35.15% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.84% ( 0.13) | 57.16% ( -0.13) |
Newtown AFC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.82% ( -0.05) | 33.18% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.22% ( -0.06) | 69.78% ( 0.06) |
Pen-y-Bont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.31% ( 0.08) | 10.68% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.42% ( 0.18) | 34.58% ( -0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Newtown AFC 17.62%
Pen-y-Bont 62.96%
Draw 19.42%
Newtown AFC | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
2-1 @ 4.83% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 2.16% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.97% Total : 17.62% | 1-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 19.42% | 1-2 @ 9.78% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.86% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 7.29% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 6.61% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 4.08% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 4.02% ( 0) 0-4 @ 3.69% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 2.25% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.82% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 1.65% ( 0.02) 2-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.96% Total : 62.96% |
Head to Head
Aug 16, 2024 7.45pm
May 11, 2024 12.20pm
Newtown
0-5
Pen-y-Bont
Wycherley (13'), Roberts (82')
Kircough (6', 63'), Venables (18', 33'), Little (73')
Reffell (68')
Reffell (68')
Nov 19, 2023 2.30pm
Aug 12, 2023 2.30pm
Apr 22, 2023 12.45pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2025-01-20 13:56:55
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | The New SaintsNew Saints | 22 | 17 | 0 | 5 | 61 | 26 | 35 | 51 |
2 | Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 42 | 16 | 26 | 50 |
3 | Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 11 | 18 | 40 |
4 | Caernarfon TownCaernarfon | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 34 |
5 | Bala TownBala Town | 22 | 7 | 11 | 4 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 32 |
6 | Cardiff MUCardiff MU | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 32 |
7 | Barry Town UnitedBarry | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 30 |
8 | Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 26 |
9 | Briton Ferry | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 21 |
10 | Flint Town UnitedFlint Town | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 27 | 47 | -20 | 20 |
11 | Newtown AFCNewtown | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 24 | 46 | -22 | 19 |
12 | Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth | 22 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 18 | 53 | -35 | 14 |
> Welsh Premier League Full Table |
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