MX23RW : Saturday, January 18 01:43:45| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 17
Nov 23, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Park Hall Stadium

New Saints
3 - 2
Pen-y-Bont

Pask (50'), Davies (65'), Redmond (89')
Oteh (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Crole (27', 31')
Kircough (56'), Wood (86'), Borge (90+1'), Owen (90+1')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between The New Saints and Pen-y-Bont.

Form, Standings, Stats

The New Saints

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Briton Ferry 3-1 New Saints
Wednesday, November 20 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Pen-y-Bont

All competitions
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 3-1 Flint Town
Saturday, November 9 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 62.13%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 17.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 1-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for a Pen-y-Bont win it was 1-2 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
The New SaintsDrawPen-y-Bont
62.13% (0.723 0.72) 20.16% (-0.114 -0.11) 17.71% (-0.611 -0.61)
Both teams to score 57.09% (-0.849 -0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.4% (-0.536 -0.54)38.6% (0.533 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.1% (-0.567 -0.57)60.89% (0.565 0.56)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.07% (0.035999999999987 0.04)11.93% (-0.039 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.71% (0.079999999999998 0.08)37.29% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.82% (-0.991 -0.99)35.18% (0.989 0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.07% (-1.048 -1.05)71.93% (1.046 1.05)
Score Analysis
    The New Saints 62.13%
    Pen-y-Bont 17.71%
    Draw 20.16%
The New SaintsDrawPen-y-Bont
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.49% (0.266 0.27)
1-0 @ 8.92% (0.236 0.24)
3-1 @ 7.02% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.72% (0.197 0.2)
4-1 @ 3.73% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.67% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-0 @ 3.57% (0.11 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.95% (-0.044 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.59% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.52% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 62.13%
1-1 @ 9.32% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.135 -0.14)
0-0 @ 4.2% (0.105 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.16%
1-2 @ 4.87% (-0.133 -0.13)
0-1 @ 4.38% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.29% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.097 -0.1)
1-3 @ 1.7% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 17.71%

Head to Head
Sep 20, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Pen-y-Bont
2-1
New Saints
Green (13'), Venables (85')
Kircough (27'), Harling (69'), Reffell (72')
Wilson (44')
Smith (23')
Dec 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 19
New Saints
3-0
Pen-y-Bont
Williams (1'), Pask (81'), McManus (88')
Redmond (36'), Baker (60'), Davies (90')

Brown (45+1'), Reffell (61'), Davies (70')
Oct 7, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Pen-y-Bont
1-4
New Saints
Venables (8')
Venables (34'), Harling (60'), Kircough (90+1')
Yorwerth (28')
Young (51', 57'), Brobbel (67', 83')
Williams (34')
Apr 8, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Pen-y-Bont
2-5
New Saints
Reffell (55'), Wood (85')
McManus (31', 72'), Redmond (39'), Baker (71'), Davies (80')
Feb 25, 2023 12.45pm
Gameweek 3
New Saints
1-1
Pen-y-Bont
Smith (18')
Wood (81' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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