MX23RW : Saturday, January 18 01:52:17| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 19
Jan 4, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Bryntirion Park

Pen-y-Bont
1 - 0
Connah's Quay

Reffell (54')
Little (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Disney (90+1')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 2-2 Cardiff MU
Tuesday, December 31 at 5.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 2-1 Connah's Quay
Tuesday, December 31 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 44.77%. A win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.

Result
Pen-y-BontDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
44.77% (-0.125 -0.13) 24.61% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 30.61% (0.131 0.13)
Both teams to score 57.31% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.53% (0.088000000000001 0.09)45.47% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.2% (0.084000000000003 0.08)67.8% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.6% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)20.4% (0.017999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.17% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)52.83% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72% (0.131 0.13)28% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.36% (0.16699999999999 0.17)63.64% (-0.167 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Pen-y-Bont 44.77%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 30.62%
    Draw 24.6%
Pen-y-BontDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
2-1 @ 9.19% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.08% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.22% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.87% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.82% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.1% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.93% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.52% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.23% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 44.77%
1-1 @ 11.55% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.85% (0.014 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.71% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.6%
1-2 @ 7.36% (0.022 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.27% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 4.63% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.12% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.48% (0.015 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.96% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 30.62%

Head to Head
Sep 15, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Connah's Quay
0-1
Pen-y-Bont

Kenny (40')
Kircough (78')
Harling (41'), Borge (50'), Borge (69')
Jan 13, 2024 5.15pm
Gameweek 22
Pen-y-Bont
0-1
Connah's Quay

MacDonald (7'), Richards (54'), Harling (70'), Davies (90+4')
Wilde (87')
Edwards (12'), Franklin (56'), Poole (90+1'), Stratulis (90+4')
Poole (90+5')
Sep 30, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 10
Connah's Quay
4-2
Pen-y-Bont
Davies (11', 58'), Kenny (24'), Harrington (90')
Davies (36'), Kenny (65'), Disney (90+4')
Venables (70' pen.), Jefferies (81')
Little (22'), Evans (65'), Kircough (68'), Owen (90+1')
Apr 15, 2023 2.30pm
Mar 11, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Pen-y-Bont
1-1
Connah's Quay
Owen (81' pen.)
Nash (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514


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