MX23RW : Saturday, January 18 00:11:07| >> :300:86500:86500:
Newtown logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 22
Jan 14, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Newtown
1 - 2
Pen-y-Bont

Smith (52')
Roberts (57')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pritchard (5', 47')
Venables (54'), Borge (57')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Pen-y-Bont.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: New Saints 2-1 Newtown
Saturday, January 4 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 1-0 Connah's Quay
Saturday, January 4 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 62.96%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 17.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.86%) and 0-1 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.75%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 2-1 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Pen-y-Bont in this match.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawPen-y-Bont
17.62% (-0.117 -0.12) 19.42% (-0.066999999999997 -0.07) 62.96% (0.185 0.18)
Both teams to score 59.68% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.85% (0.117 0.12)35.15% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.84% (0.13 0.13)57.16% (-0.129 -0.13)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.82% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)33.18% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.22% (-0.061 -0.06)69.78% (0.062000000000012 0.06)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.31% (0.082000000000008 0.08)10.68% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.42% (0.18100000000001 0.18)34.58% (-0.18 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 17.62%
    Pen-y-Bont 62.96%
    Draw 19.42%
Newtown AFCDrawPen-y-Bont
2-1 @ 4.83% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-0 @ 3.91% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-0 @ 2.16% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.78% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 17.62%
1-1 @ 8.75% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.55% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 19.42%
1-2 @ 9.78% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.86% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.93% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 7.29% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 6.61% (0.028 0.03)
1-4 @ 4.08% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
2-3 @ 4.02% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 3.69% (0.028 0.03)
2-4 @ 2.25% (0.011 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.82% (0.017 0.02)
0-5 @ 1.65% (0.018 0.02)
2-5 @ 1.01% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 62.96%

Head to Head
Aug 16, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Pen-y-Bont
0-0
Newtown
Green (77')
Griffiths (48'), Hughes (75'), Green (82')
May 11, 2024 12.20pm
Newtown
0-5
Pen-y-Bont

Wycherley (13'), Roberts (82')
Kircough (6', 63'), Venables (18', 33'), Little (73')
Reffell (68')
Nov 19, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 16
Pen-y-Bont
1-1
Newtown
Venables (71')
Kircough (63'), Harling (73'), Evans (90+4')
Smith (49')
Evans (21'), Wycherley (33'), Cowans (66')
Aug 12, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Newtown
1-3
Pen-y-Bont
Oswell (88')
Sutton (90+2')
Venables (18', 34'), Evans (71' og.)
Apr 22, 2023 12.45pm
Gameweek 10
Pen-y-Bont
2-1
Newtown
Reffell (62'), Yorwerth (84')
Ismail (16')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514


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