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League One | Gameweek 17
Nov 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Cambridge United

Northampton
0 - 0
Cambridge

FT

Lavery (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackpool 0-0 Northampton
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in League One

We said: Northampton Town 1-1 Cambridge United

A closely-fought contest between two teams keen to swiftly return to winning ways could be in store on Saturday. Playing at Sixfields may give Northampton a slight psychological edge, but we feel that Cambridge will do just enough to grind out a draw on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 48.7%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawCambridge United
48.7% (0.175 0.17) 23.98% (-0.115 -0.11) 27.32% (-0.058 -0.06)
Both teams to score 57.22% (0.34 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.41% (0.47 0.47)44.59% (-0.468 -0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.04% (0.45399999999999 0.45)66.96% (-0.45100000000001 -0.45)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.58% (0.25200000000001 0.25)18.42% (-0.25 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.42% (0.425 0.42)49.58% (-0.423 -0.42)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.14% (0.202 0.2)29.86% (-0.201 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.04% (0.242 0.24)65.95% (-0.241 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 48.7%
    Cambridge United 27.32%
    Draw 23.98%
Northampton TownDrawCambridge United
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.013 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.31% (-0.114 -0.11)
2-0 @ 7.87% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.36% (0.05 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.44% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.048 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.27% (0.04 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.88% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.37% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 48.7%
1-1 @ 11.24% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.75% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.5% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.98%
1-2 @ 6.8% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.65% (-0.098 -0.1)
0-2 @ 4.02% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.74% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.32% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.62% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 27.32%

How you voted: Northampton vs Cambridge

Northampton Town
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Cambridge United
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 37
Cambridge
1-1
Northampton
Kachunga (16')
Digby (81')
Guthrie (82')
Brady (82')
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Northampton
2-1
Cambridge
Bowie (49'), Hoskins (55')
McWilliams (42')
Ahadme (77')
Brophy (39'), Digby (79'), Andrew (90')
Digby (80')
Sep 20, 2022 7pm
Nov 16, 2021 7.45pm
First Round Replays
Cambridge
3-1
Northampton
Knibbs (13'), Smith (40'), Worman (48')
Rose (75')
McGowan (82')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
First Round
Northampton
2-2
Cambridge
Etete (6'), Lewis (35')
Horsfall (12'), McWilliams (87')
Smith (14'), Masterson (66')
Smith (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe15112235181735
2Wrexham1694325111431
3Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
4Birmingham CityBirmingham1493226151130
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield158252315826
6Barnsley167542420426
7Lincoln CityLincoln167542320326
8Reading158252422226
9Bolton WanderersBolton158252425-126
10Mansfield TownMansfield147342016424
11Exeter CityExeter157261413123
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
13Bristol Rovers166371721-421
14Charlton AthleticCharlton155461617-119
15Stevenage165471116-519
16Northampton TownNorthampton164661821-318
17Wigan AthleticWigan154561312117
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
19Blackpool164572230-817
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient154381418-415
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge153391324-1112
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion151591528-138


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