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European Under-19s Championship | World Cup Playoff
Jul 25, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Seaview

Norway U19s
1 - 1
Turkey U19s

Holten (16')
Fauske Helland (53'), Holten (122')
FT
(aet)
Vural (81')
Uzun (39'), Yilmaz (77'), Eren Arikan (86')
Norway U19s win 10-9 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's European Under-19s Championship clash between Norway Under-19s and Turkey Under-19s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
European Under-19s Championship
Last Game: Norway U19s 2-0 N. Ireland U19s
Sunday, July 21 at 7pm in European Under-19s Championship
All competitions
Last Game: Turkey U19s 3-3 Denmark U19s
Monday, July 22 at 7pm in European Under-19s Championship

We say: Norway Under-19s 1-1 Turkey Under-19s (Turkey to win on penalties)

While Turkey proved the more potent attacking force in the group stage with five efforts compared to Norway's three, Basar's men conceded three times as many goals at the Scandinavians, who only let in two strikes in 270 minutes. Calling an outright winner in this fixture is incredibly difficult, and penalties may very well be needed to decide both teams' World Cup destiny. Given Turkey's more ruthless attacking edge in the group stage, they have our vote to punch their ticket to the 2025 tournament in Chile. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway Under-19s win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for Turkey Under-19s had a probability of 28.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norway Under-19s win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Turkey Under-19s win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%).

Result
Norway Under-19sDrawTurkey Under-19s
45.9%25.34%28.76%
Both teams to score 53.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.46%49.54%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.43%71.57%
Norway Under-19s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.41%21.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.32%54.68%
Turkey Under-19s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.63%31.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.27%67.73%
Score Analysis
    Norway Under-19s 45.89%
    Turkey Under-19s 28.76%
    Draw 25.33%
Norway Under-19sDrawTurkey Under-19s
1-0 @ 10.37%
2-1 @ 9.23%
2-0 @ 7.96%
3-1 @ 4.72%
3-0 @ 4.07%
3-2 @ 2.73%
4-1 @ 1.81%
4-0 @ 1.56%
4-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 45.89%
1-1 @ 12.03%
0-0 @ 6.77%
2-2 @ 5.35%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.33%
0-1 @ 7.85%
1-2 @ 6.98%
0-2 @ 4.55%
1-3 @ 2.7%
2-3 @ 2.07%
0-3 @ 1.76%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 28.76%

How you voted: Norway U19s vs Turkey U19s

Norway Under-19s
71.4%
Turkey Under-19s
28.6%
7
rhs 2.0
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2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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