Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 36.7%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.68%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (11.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Osasuna | Draw | Valencia |
36.7% ( -0.11) | 28.59% ( 0.04) | 34.71% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 46.02% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.58% ( -0.13) | 60.42% ( 0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.45% ( -0.1) | 80.55% ( 0.1) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.49% ( -0.14) | 31.51% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.1% ( -0.16) | 67.9% ( 0.16) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.19% ( -0.02) | 32.81% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.63% ( -0.02) | 69.37% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Osasuna | Draw | Valencia |
1-0 @ 11.93% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.93% Total : 36.7% | 1-1 @ 13.3% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.33% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.58% | 0-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.42% 0-2 @ 6.42% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.76% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 34.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
6 | Villarreal | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 27 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 15 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 11 |
> La Liga Full Table |