Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 62.65%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Lille had a probability of 16.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Lille win it was 0-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Liverpool in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Liverpool.