Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for York City has a probability of 34.81% and a draw has a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win is 1-0 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest York City win is 0-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.84%).
Result | ||
Oldham Athletic | Draw | York City |
40.04% ( 0.57) | 25.15% ( -0.52) | 34.81% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 56.98% ( 1.78) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.45% ( 2.3) | 46.55% ( -2.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.17% ( 2.12) | 68.83% ( -2.12) |
Oldham Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.92% ( 1.32) | 23.08% ( -1.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.08% ( 1.89) | 56.92% ( -1.89) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.08% ( 1.07) | 25.92% ( -1.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.09% ( 1.42) | 60.91% ( -1.41) |
Score Analysis |
Oldham Athletic | Draw | York City |
1-0 @ 8.77% ( -0.52) 2-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.21) 3-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.22) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.16% Total : 40.04% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( -0.32) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.6) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.24) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 8.08% ( -0.55) 1-2 @ 8% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.18) 0-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.38% Total : 34.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 52 |
2 | York City | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 51 |
3 | Barnet | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 51 |
4 | Gateshead | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 48 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
7 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 39 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 38 |
10 | Eastleigh | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 38 |
11 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 35 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
16 | Tamworth | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 30 |
17 | Woking | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 29 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 26 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 24 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 24 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 31 | 53 | -22 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 16 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 20 | 63 | -43 | 11 |
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