MX23RW : Monday, January 20 16:58:07| >> :600:1367100:1367100:
Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 1, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Paide linnastaadion

Paide
4 - 0
Stjarnan

Ojamaa (29'), Saarma (46'), Ceesay (57'), Lilander (85')
Gomis (78'), Kristal (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Frodi Ingason (77'), Kristjansson (84')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Paide and Stjarnan.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Zalgiris 2-1 Pafos
Thursday, July 25 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Zalgiris 2-1 Pafos
Thursday, July 25 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paide win with a probability of 49.04%. A win for Stjarnan had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paide win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.03%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Stjarnan win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paide would win this match.

Result
PaideDrawStjarnan
49.04% (11.262 11.26) 21.67% (-2.184 -2.18) 29.3% (-9.077 -9.08)
Both teams to score 67.19% (5.136 5.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.86% (7.974 7.97)32.14% (-7.973 -7.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.27% (8.753 8.75)53.73% (-8.754 -8.75)
Paide Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.34% (7.716 7.72)13.66% (-7.715 -7.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.15% (13.505 13.51)40.84% (-13.506 -13.51)
Stjarnan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.82% (-1.104 -1.1)22.18% (1.104 1.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.41% (-1.688 -1.69)55.59% (1.689 1.69)
Score Analysis
    Paide 49.04%
    Stjarnan 29.3%
    Draw 21.67%
PaideDrawStjarnan
2-1 @ 9.04% (0.69 0.69)
1-0 @ 6.03% (-0.92 -0.92)
2-0 @ 6% (0.64 0.64)
3-1 @ 6% (1.705 1.71)
3-2 @ 4.52% (1.174 1.17)
3-0 @ 3.99% (1.226 1.23)
4-1 @ 2.99% (1.33 1.33)
4-2 @ 2.25% (0.959 0.96)
4-0 @ 1.98% (0.919 0.92)
5-1 @ 1.19% (0.678 0.68)
4-3 @ 1.13% (0.46 0.46)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 49.04%
1-1 @ 9.08% (-1.738 -1.74)
2-2 @ 6.81% (0.308 0.31)
0-0 @ 3.03% (-1.476 -1.48)
3-3 @ 2.27% (0.533 0.53)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 21.67%
1-2 @ 6.84% (-1.587 -1.59)
0-1 @ 4.56% (-2.451 -2.45)
0-2 @ 3.44% (-2.025 -2.03)
1-3 @ 3.43% (-0.939 -0.94)
2-3 @ 3.42% (0.043 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.72% (-1.109 -1.11)
1-4 @ 1.29% (-0.41 -0.41)
2-4 @ 1.29% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 29.3%

How you voted: Paide vs Stjarnan

Paide
37.5%
Draw
25.0%
Stjarnan
37.5%
8
Head to Head
Jul 25, 2024 5pm
Second Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Zalgiris
2-1
Pafos
Antal (17', 26')
Golubickas (61'), Ors Gyorgy Tordai (90'), Larsson (90+5'), Hodzic (90+6')
Moutachy (62' og.)
Pelagio (57'), Rovaris Dall'Igna (90+6'), Bruno (90+9')
rhs 2.0
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