Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Aug 22, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Allianz Parque
Palmeiras2 - 2Botafogo
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Palmeiras 2-1 Sao Paulo
Sunday, August 18 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, August 18 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
31
We said: Palmeiras 1-0 Botafogo (Palmeiras advance on penalties)
Given the stakes, we expect the desperation and experience of Palmeiras will be just enough to advance them into the next round, in what promises to be a tense affair on Wednesday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 54.07%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 20.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Palmeiras | Draw | Botafogo |
54.07% ( -0.9) | 25.06% ( 0.46) | 20.87% ( 0.45) |
Both teams to score 46.89% ( -0.68) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.19% ( -1.22) | 54.81% ( 1.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.89% ( -1.02) | 76.11% ( 1.02) |
Palmeiras Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.75% ( -0.83) | 20.26% ( 0.84) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.4% ( -1.35) | 52.6% ( 1.36) |
Botafogo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.8% ( -0.23) | 41.21% ( 0.23) |