MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 08:02:03| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
PEC Zwolle
Eredivisie | Gameweek 16
Dec 13, 2024 at 7pm UK
MAC³PARK Stadion
Willem II

PEC Zwolle
0 - 1
Willem II

FT(HT: 0-1)
Meerveld (11')
St Jago (63'), Bokila (71'), Behounek (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between PEC Zwolle and Willem II, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Groningen 0-0 PEC Zwolle
Sunday, December 8 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Willem II 1-2 Heerenveen
Sunday, December 8 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: PEC Zwolle 1-1 Willem II

While PEC Zwolle have the better recent record coming into this match, Willem II have delivered several good performances on the road this season and have not lost two away games in succession to date. There is very little to choose between these sides, and we feel there will be nothing to split them at the final whistle of this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 35.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Willem II in this match.

Result
PEC ZwolleDrawWillem II
35.38% (0.179 0.18) 25.51% (0.047000000000001 0.05) 39.12% (-0.222 -0.22)
Both teams to score 55.84% (-0.13 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.93% (-0.177 -0.18)48.07% (0.18 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.76% (-0.162 -0.16)70.24% (0.16499999999999 0.16)
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.7% (0.021000000000001 0.02)26.3% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.57% (0.027000000000001 0.03)61.43% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Willem II Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.77% (-0.196 -0.2)24.23% (0.198 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.42% (-0.28 -0.28)58.58% (0.282 0.28)
Score Analysis
    PEC Zwolle 35.38%
    Willem II 39.12%
    Draw 25.5%
PEC ZwolleDrawWillem II
1-0 @ 8.51% (0.068 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.06% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.68% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.59% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.53% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.2% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 35.38%
1-1 @ 12.06% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.37% (0.048 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.71% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.5%
0-1 @ 9.03% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.55% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.4% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.04% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.03% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.7% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.43% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.07% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 39.12%

How you voted: PEC Zwolle vs Willem II

PEC Zwolle
56.3%
Draw
31.3%
Willem II
12.5%
48
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 28
Willem II
2-3
PEC Zwolle
Schouten (30'), De Leeuw (89')
Medunjanin (12', 79'), Vellios (26')
Sep 9, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 6
PEC Zwolle
2-2
Willem II
Thy (44' pen.), Mrkonjic (45')
Svensson (6'), Woudenberg (13')
Jan 14, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 17
PEC Zwolle
2-0
Willem II
Van den Belt (25', 78')
van den Belt (53'), Strieder (62')

Nunnely (69')
Aug 28, 2021 8pm
Jan 22, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 18
Willem II
1-3
PEC Zwolle
Okyere Wriedt (10')
Selahi (41')
Okyere Wriedt (45+1')
Ghoochannejhad (58', 62', 70')
Kersten (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


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