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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 59.38%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 18.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Willem II win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.
Result | ||
PEC Zwolle | Draw | Willem II |
59.38% | 22.58% | 18.04% |
Both teams to score 49.68% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.26% | 48.74% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.15% | 70.85% |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.95% | 16.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.59% | 45.41% |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.18% | 40.82% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.6% | 77.4% |
Score Analysis |
PEC Zwolle | Draw | Willem II |
1-0 @ 11.98% 2-0 @ 10.96% 2-1 @ 9.82% 3-0 @ 6.69% 3-1 @ 5.99% 4-0 @ 3.06% 4-1 @ 2.74% 3-2 @ 2.68% 4-2 @ 1.23% 5-0 @ 1.12% 5-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.09% Total : 59.37% | 1-1 @ 10.73% 0-0 @ 6.55% 2-2 @ 4.4% Other @ 0.89% Total : 22.57% | 0-1 @ 5.87% 1-2 @ 4.81% 0-2 @ 2.63% 1-3 @ 1.44% 2-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.98% Total : 18.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 9 | 28 | 30 |
2 | Ajax | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 25 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Feyenoord | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 22 |
5 | FC Twente | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 21 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 17 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 13 |
11 | Willem II | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
12 | Heracles | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
13 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Heerenveen | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 11 |
15 | Groningen | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
16 | PEC Zwolle | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 23 | -18 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 28 | -18 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |