Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.36%) and 2-3 (4.85%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.
Result | ||
Perth Glory | Draw | Adelaide United |
35.55% (![]() | 21.16% (![]() | 43.29% (![]() |
Both teams to score 72.35% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.33% (![]() | 26.67% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.93% (![]() | 47.07% (![]() |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.61% (![]() | 16.39% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.97% (![]() | 46.03% (![]() |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.53% (![]() | 13.47% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.53% (![]() | 40.46% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Perth Glory | Draw | Adelaide United |
2-1 @ 7.24% (![]() 3-2 @ 4.37% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.36% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 3.99% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.61% 3-0 @ 2.18% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.98% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.97% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.32% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 3.55% Total : 35.55% | 1-1 @ 8% (![]() 2-2 @ 7.26% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.92% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.21% ( ![]() Other @ 0.77% Total : 21.16% | 1-2 @ 8.02% (![]() 1-3 @ 5.36% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 4.85% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.44% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 4.43% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.97% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.69% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 2.43% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.49% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 1.47% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.08% ( ![]() 2-5 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 3.11% Total : 43.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 18 | 19 | 41 |
2 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 35 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 33 |
5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 33 |
6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 29 |
8 | Macarthur | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 25 |
9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 22 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 21 |
11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 19 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 45 | -32 | 11 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 8 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |