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Peterborough United
League One | 2nd Leg
May 8, 2024 at 8pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Oxford United

Peterborough
1 - 1
Oxford Utd

Knight (41')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Brannagan (45+3' pen.)
Harris (30'), Stevens (40'), Brown (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-0 Peterborough
Saturday, May 4 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Peterborough United 2-2 Oxford United

Peterborough's array of attacking talent will undoubtedly cause Oxford problems in Wednesday's second leg, but with the U's unbeaten in four away matches, we think that they will hold Posh to a draw to secure their place at Wembley. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 48.02%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 29.05% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.56%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-2 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawOxford United
48.02% (-4.965 -4.97) 22.93% (1.272 1.27) 29.05% (3.692 3.69)
Both teams to score 62.28% (-1.308 -1.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.5% (-3.14 -3.14)38.5% (3.14 3.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.2% (-3.403 -3.4)60.79% (3.404 3.4)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.64% (-2.807 -2.81)16.35% (2.807 2.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.03% (-5.341 -5.34)45.96% (5.341 5.34)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.45% (0.907 0.91)25.54% (-0.905 -0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.6% (1.223 1.22)60.4% (-1.222 -1.22)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 48.02%
    Oxford United 29.05%
    Draw 22.93%
Peterborough UnitedDrawOxford United
2-1 @ 9.35% (-0.175 -0.18)
1-0 @ 7.56% (0.402 0.4)
2-0 @ 6.85% (-0.311 -0.31)
3-1 @ 5.64% (-0.704 -0.7)
3-0 @ 4.13% (-0.637 -0.64)
3-2 @ 3.85% (-0.369 -0.37)
4-1 @ 2.55% (-0.617 -0.62)
4-0 @ 1.87% (-0.513 -0.51)
4-2 @ 1.74% (-0.366 -0.37)
5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.343 -0.34)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 48.02%
1-1 @ 10.32% (0.795 0.8)
2-2 @ 6.38% (0.046 0.05)
0-0 @ 4.18% (0.594 0.59)
3-3 @ 1.75% (-0.119 -0.12)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.93%
1-2 @ 7.05% (0.711 0.71)
0-1 @ 5.7% (0.936 0.94)
0-2 @ 3.89% (0.722 0.72)
1-3 @ 3.21% (0.397 0.4)
2-3 @ 2.9% (0.095 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.77% (0.365 0.37)
1-4 @ 1.09% (0.16 0.16)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 29.05%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Oxford Utd

Peterborough United
58.6%
Draw
20.2%
Oxford United
21.2%
99
Head to Head
May 4, 2024 7.45pm
Apr 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 44
Oxford Utd
5-0
Peterborough
Harris (19' pen.), Murphy (31'), Rodrigues (38', 58'), Bodin (89')

Katongo (18')
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Peterborough
3-0
Oxford Utd
Kyprianou (23'), Jade-Jones (34'), De Havilland (90+2')
Kioso (60')

Bodin (63')
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Oxford Utd
1-2
Peterborough
Bodin (52')
Taylor (7'), Poku (31')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2311483534137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Stevenage238781820-231
14Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
15Blackpool247983235-330
16Rotherham UnitedRotherham237792123-228
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814


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