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League One | Gameweek 33
Apr 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Port Vale

Peterborough
3 - 0
Port Vale

Randall (45+2'), Burrows (56' pen.), Iacovitti (86' og.)
Knight (45')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ojo (8'), Lowe (77'), Ikpeazu (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 0-0 Port Vale
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One

We said: Peterborough United 2-1 Port Vale

After losing their last three matches, Peterborough will view Tuesday's contest as an opportunity to return to winning ways against a struggling Port Vale side, and we think that Posh will ultimately do enough to claim a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 67.97%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 13.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 1-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a Port Vale win it was 1-2 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawPort Vale
67.97% (-0.203 -0.2) 18.31% (0.105 0.11) 13.72% (0.096 0.1)
Both teams to score 53.99% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62% (-0.277 -0.28)38% (0.275 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.74% (-0.293 -0.29)60.26% (0.291 0.29)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.77% (-0.127 -0.13)10.23% (0.126 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.44% (-0.28700000000001 -0.29)33.56% (0.286 0.29)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.15% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)39.85% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.48% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)76.51% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 67.97%
    Port Vale 13.72%
    Draw 18.31%
Peterborough UnitedDrawPort Vale
2-0 @ 10.59% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.75% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.3% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
3-0 @ 8.05% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.41% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 4.59% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-1 @ 4.22% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.41% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-0 @ 2.09% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.94% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.93% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 4.7%
Total : 67.97%
1-1 @ 8.55% (0.058 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.48% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.08% (0.054 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 18.31%
1-2 @ 3.93% (0.023 0.02)
0-1 @ 3.75% (0.046 0.05)
0-2 @ 1.73% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.21% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 13.72%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Port Vale

Peterborough United
71.2%
Draw
18.2%
Port Vale
10.6%
66
Head to Head
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Port Vale
0-1
Peterborough

Garrity (32')
Mason-Clark (14')
Collins (24'), Poku (55'), Kioso (73'), Kyprianou (79'), Crichlow (90+8')
Jan 16, 2023 8pm
Sep 24, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 11
Peterborough
3-0
Port Vale
Clarke-Harris (26', 36'), Ward (73')
Feb 4, 2017 3pm
Port Vale
0-3
Peterborough

Smith (11'), Pugh (73')
Maddison (20'), Morias (90', 95')
Da Silva Lopes (57'), Edwards (58'), Nichols (75')
Sep 10, 2016 3pm
Peterborough
2-2
Port Vale
Moncur (8', 84')
da Silva Lopes (57'), Bostwick (73'), Taylor (95')
Hughes (94')
Jones (6', 94')
Grant (14'), Paterson (45'), Jones (58')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton2511593839-138
10Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
11Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
12Charlton AthleticCharlton249782925434
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Blackpool2571083437-331
15Stevenage248791922-331
16Exeter CityExeter2594122832-431
17Wigan AthleticWigan2486102324-130
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2575134146-526
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
24Burton Albion2529142139-1815


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