MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 22:31:40| >> :60:239:239:
Philadelphia Union
Leagues Cup | Group Stage
Aug 5, 2024 at 1am UK
Talen Energy Stadium

Philadelphia
1 - 1
Cruz Azul

Gazdag (88')
Bedoya (3'), Sullivan (37'), Lowe (55'), Gazdag (59')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rotondi (41')
Romo (51'), Rotondi (59'), Uriel (90+2')
Cruz Azul win 5-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Leagues Cup clash between Philadelphia Union and Cruz Azul, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Philadelphia Union 0-0 Cruz Azul (Philadelphia win on penalties)

Both sides have been solid defensively in recent outings, and if it is as close as we anticipate, we believe the Union will show a little more poise when needed with the pressure on. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 38.42%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 37.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.85%) and 0-2 (5.83%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawCruz Azul
37.01% (1.853 1.85) 24.58% (-0.253 -0.25) 38.42% (-1.596 -1.6)
Both teams to score 59.31% (1.132 1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.34% (1.377 1.38)43.66% (-1.373 -1.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.95% (1.335 1.34)66.06% (-1.33 -1.33)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.65% (1.653 1.65)23.35% (-1.647 -1.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.68% (2.342 2.34)57.32% (-2.339 -2.34)
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.38% (-0.19 -0.19)22.63% (0.196 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.75% (-0.28599999999999 -0.29)56.25% (0.29199999999999 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 37.01%
    Cruz Azul 38.42%
    Draw 24.58%
Philadelphia UnionDrawCruz Azul
2-1 @ 8.31% (0.251 0.25)
1-0 @ 7.69% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-0 @ 5.59% (0.2 0.2)
3-1 @ 4.03% (0.305 0.31)
3-2 @ 2.99% (0.21 0.21)
3-0 @ 2.71% (0.22 0.22)
4-1 @ 1.46% (0.174 0.17)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.124 0.12)
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.122 0.12)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 37.01%
1-1 @ 11.42% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-2 @ 6.17% (0.152 0.15)
0-0 @ 5.28% (-0.324 -0.32)
3-3 @ 1.48% (0.096 0.1)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.58%
1-2 @ 8.49% (-0.198 -0.2)
0-1 @ 7.85% (-0.53 -0.53)
0-2 @ 5.83% (-0.43 -0.43)
1-3 @ 4.2% (-0.124 -0.12)
2-3 @ 3.06% (0.058 0.06)
0-3 @ 2.89% (-0.231 -0.23)
1-4 @ 1.56% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.14% (0.015 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.07% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 38.42%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs Cruz Azul

Philadelphia Union
33.3%
Draw
38.1%
Cruz Azul
28.6%
21
rhs 2.0
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