We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-1 Bristol City
Regardless of their recent struggles, Plymouth will be targeting Monday's home match as a massive opportunity to earn maximum points in their bid for survival.
Bristol City had to be on top form to secure victory over Leicester last time out, although we feel that the Robins' inconsistency is set to strike once more at Home Park.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bristol City in this match.