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Plymouth Argyle
Championship | Gameweek 7
Sep 27, 2024 at 8pm UK
Home Park
Luton Town

Plymouth
3 - 1
Luton

Hajal (8'), Cissoko (69', 90+3')
Randell (36')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Moses (71')
Adebayo (15'), Walters (83'), Burke (87'), Clark (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Brom 1-0 Plymouth
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 2-1 Sheff Weds
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Plymouth Argyle 1-2 Luton Town

With Plymouth seemingly improving under Rooney, we cannot rule them out of securing maximum points from this contest. On the flip side, Luton are seemingly building some momentum, leading us to back a hard-earned victory for Edwards' men. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.58%) and 0-2 (5.89%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawLuton Town
35.97% (0.117 0.12) 24.18% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02) 39.85% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Both teams to score 60.66% (0.087999999999994 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.13% (0.107 0.11)41.86% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.73% (0.107 0.11)64.27% (-0.107 -0.11)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.91% (0.113 0.11)23.09% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.07% (0.163 0.16)56.93% (-0.162 -0.16)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.87% (0.0010000000000048 0)21.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.02% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)53.98% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 35.97%
    Luton Town 39.85%
    Draw 24.17%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawLuton Town
2-1 @ 8.15% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.15% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.98% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.09% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.56% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.46% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.94% (0.0079999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 35.97%
1-1 @ 11.11% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.33% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.88% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.6% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.17%
1-2 @ 8.64% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.58% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.89% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.48% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.28% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.05% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.74% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.28% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.19% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 39.85%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Luton

Plymouth Argyle
25.2%
Draw
15.9%
Luton Town
58.9%
151
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 36
Plymouth
0-0
Luton
Carey (29'), Edwards (42'), Canavan (62'), Fox (80')
Hylton (30'), Shinnie (74')
Nov 17, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 18
Luton
5-1
Plymouth
Collins (12', 45' pen., 77'), Lee (23'), Justin (29')
Grant (89')
O'Keefe (52'), Carey (73')
Feb 25, 2017 3pm
Aug 6, 2016 3pm
Plymouth
0-3
Luton

Miller (45')
Hylton (50'), Marriott (69'), Smith (96')
Hylton (26'), Ruddock (55'), Potts (71'), McGeehan (98')
Potts (89')
Mar 19, 2016 3pm
Plymouth
0-1
Luton

Purrington (86')
Marriott (27')
Smith (59'), McGeehan (77'), Rea (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd20135228111742
2Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
7Middlesbrough209473425931
8Watford199462725231
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall196762017325
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Preston North EndPreston2041062026-622
16Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
17Coventry CityCoventry205692529-421
18Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
19Queens Park RangersQPR204972026-621
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd194692030-1018
21Portsmouth193882134-1317
22Cardiff CityCardiff1945101730-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City2037101828-1016


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