Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 38.43%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | Vizela |
34.29% ( -1.47) | 27.28% ( 0) | 38.43% ( 1.47) |
Both teams to score 49.88% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.4% ( -0.12) | 55.6% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.23% ( -0.1) | 76.77% ( 0.1) |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.37% ( -0.99) | 30.63% ( 0.99) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.13% ( -1.19) | 66.87% ( 1.19) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.9% ( 0.81) | 28.1% ( -0.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.23% ( 1.02) | 63.77% ( -1.02) |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | Vizela |
1-0 @ 10.18% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.22) 2-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.31) 3-1 @ 3.02% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.13% Total : 34.29% | 1-1 @ 12.92% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.27% | 0-1 @ 10.92% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 8.2% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 6.93% ( 0.34) 1-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.21) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.87% Total : 38.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 41 |
2 | Porto | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 40 |
3 | Benfica | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 11 | 27 | 38 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 18 |
13 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 16 |
14 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
16 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 14 |
17 | Nacional | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 13 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
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