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Ligue 1
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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 31
Apr 27, 2024 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
Le Havre

PSG
3 - 3
Le Havre

Barcola (29'), Hakimi (78'), Ramos (90+5')
Zaire-Emery (74'), Mbappe (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Operi (19'), Ayew (38'), Toure (61' pen.)
Sangante (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Le Havre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 1-4 PSG
Wednesday, April 24 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Le Havre

All competitions
Last Game: Le Havre 0-1 Metz
Sunday, April 21 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-1 Le Havre

 The hosts come into this match in excellent form, having won three consecutive matches 4-1 in all competitions, and they are still well on course for the treble. There is sure to be an amazing atmosphere inside the Parc Des Princes this weekend, and we feel the Parisians will respond by securing the Ligue 1 title in front of their adoring fans. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 72.92%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 10.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 3-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.54%), while for a Le Havre win it was 1-2 (3.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawLe Havre
72.92% (-0.28299999999999 -0.28) 16.18% (0.127 0.13) 10.9% (0.161 0.16)
Both teams to score 52.75% (0.114 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.86% (-0.14399999999999 -0.14)35.14% (0.149 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.86% (-0.161 -0.16)57.15% (0.167 0.17)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.66% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)8.35% (0.099 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.93% (-0.241 -0.24)29.07% (0.246 0.25)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.55% (0.187 0.19)42.45% (-0.181 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.18% (0.158 0.16)78.83% (-0.15299999999999 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 72.92%
    Le Havre 10.9%
    Draw 16.18%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawLe Havre
2-0 @ 10.92% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 9.04% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-0 @ 8.8% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.75% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 5.62% (-0.065 -0.06)
4-1 @ 4.81% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.32% (0.011 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.79% (-0.045 -0.04)
5-1 @ 2.39% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
6-0 @ 1.15% (-0.025 -0.03)
5-2 @ 1.02% (-0.006 -0.01)
6-1 @ 0.99% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 72.92%
1-1 @ 7.54% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.01% (0.032 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.54% (0.027 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 16.18%
1-2 @ 3.23% (0.042 0.04)
0-1 @ 3.04% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 1.3% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.15% (0.015 0.02)
1-3 @ 0.92% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 10.9%

How you voted: PSG vs Le Havre

Paris Saint-Germain
90.6%
Draw
5.9%
Le Havre
3.5%
85
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 14
Le Havre
0-2
PSG

Operi (68'), Alioui (76')
Mbappe (23'), Vitinha (89')
Pereira (87')
Donnarumma (10')
> Preview
Jul 21, 2023 4pm
Club Friendlies
PSG
2-0
Le Havre
Ekitike (53'), Mbappe (90+1')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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