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Ligue 1
Montpellier
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26
Mar 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
PSG logo

Montpellier
2 - 6
PSG

Nordin (30'), Savanier (45+2' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-2)
Vitinha (14'), Mbappe (22', 50', 63'), Kang-in (53'), Mendes (89')
Beraldo (38'), Donnarumma (45+2'), Mendes (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 1-2 Montpellier
Friday, March 8 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 3-1 Nice
Wednesday, March 13 at 8.10pm in Coupe de France

We said: Montpellier HSC 1-3 Paris Saint-Germain

 Montpellier are always capable of troubling opposition backlines in Savanier territory, but with three new concerns for Der Zakarian to factor in for Sunday's visit of the champions, there should be little for La Paillade to celebrate. Even though Montpellier love a draw at home, and PSG have been guilty of not converting one point into three in recent weeks, the visitors seldom slip up against their hosts and ought to return to winning ways in Ligue 1 in emphatic fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 60.65%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 18.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.01%) and 0-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 2-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawParis Saint-Germain
18.91% (-0.264 -0.26) 20.43% (0.041999999999998 0.04) 60.65% (0.215 0.21)
Both teams to score 58.55% (-0.653 -0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.21% (-0.633 -0.63)37.79% (0.626 0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.96% (-0.677 -0.68)60.03% (0.673 0.67)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.6% (-0.64100000000001 -0.64)33.4% (0.63500000000001 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.97% (-0.706 -0.71)70.02% (0.7 0.7)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.91% (-0.13900000000001 -0.14)12.09% (0.132 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.37% (-0.28700000000001 -0.29)37.63% (0.281 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 18.91%
    Paris Saint-Germain 60.65%
    Draw 20.43%
Montpellier HSCDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 5.13% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-0 @ 4.43% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 2.43% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.98% (-0.065 -0.06)
3-1 @ 1.88% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 18.91%
1-1 @ 9.35% (0.071 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.42% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4.04% (0.121 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 20.43%
1-2 @ 9.88% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 9.01% (0.177 0.18)
0-1 @ 8.53% (0.211 0.21)
1-3 @ 6.96% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 6.35% (0.092 0.09)
2-3 @ 3.82% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-4 @ 3.68% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-4 @ 3.35% (0.031 0.03)
2-4 @ 2.02% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-5 @ 1.55% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-5 @ 1.42% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 4.08%
Total : 60.65%

How you voted: Montpellier vs PSG

Montpellier HSC
14.5%
Draw
14.5%
Paris Saint-Germain
71.1%
83
Head to Head
Nov 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 11
PSG
3-0
Montpellier
Kang-in (10'), Zaire-Emery (58'), Vitinha (66')
Mukiele (82')
> Preview
Feb 1, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 21
Montpellier
1-3
PSG
Nordin (89')
Ruiz (55'), Messi (72'), Zaire-Emery (90+2')
> Preview
Aug 13, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 2
PSG
5-2
Montpellier
Sacko (39' og.), Neymar (43' pen., 51'), Mbappe (69'), Sanches (87')
Kimpembe (60'), Vitinha (66')
Khazri (58'), Tchato Mbiayi (90+1')
Wahi (63')
> Preview
May 14, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 37
Montpellier
0-4
PSG

Souquet (41'), Ferri (89')
Messi (6', 20'), Di Maria (26'), Mbappe (60' pen.)
Herrera (34'), Simons (70'), Mbappe (85'), Marquinhos (90+2')
> Preview
Sep 25, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 8
PSG
2-0
Montpellier
Gueye (14'), Draxler (88')

Makouana (90+1')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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