MX23RW : Friday, November 15 20:43:00| >> :60:209:209:
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 14, 2024 at 11pm UK
Complejo Daniel Marsicano

Racing
2 - 1
Nacional

Nandin (54'), Bueno (64')
Varela (44'), Gorocito (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bailone (53' pen.)
Gaona Lugo (90+4'), Santacruz (90+5')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Racing de Montevideo and Club Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Racing de Montevideo

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Racing 0-1 Maldonado
Saturday, May 11 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Club Nacional

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Nacional 0-2 Corinthians
Tuesday, May 7 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 42.25%. A win for Club Nacional had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Club Nacional win was 0-1 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing de Montevideo would win this match.

Result
Racing de MontevideoDrawClub Nacional
42.25% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 27.65%30.1% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 47.55% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.04% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)57.96% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.34% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)78.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Racing de Montevideo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.91% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)27.09% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.52% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)62.47% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Club Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.23% (0.013999999999996 0.01)34.77% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.49% (0.013000000000002 0.01)71.51% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Racing de Montevideo 42.25%
    Club Nacional 30.1%
    Draw 27.64%
Racing de MontevideoDrawClub Nacional
1-0 @ 12.3%
2-1 @ 8.49%
2-0 @ 8.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.69%
3-0 @ 3.5% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.95%
4-1 @ 1.21%
4-0 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 42.25%
1-1 @ 12.99%
0-0 @ 9.42% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.64%
0-1 @ 9.95% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 6.86% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 5.26% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 2.42% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.85% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.58% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 30.1%

Head to Head
Apr 25, 2024 11pm
Group Stage
Nacional
2-2
Racing
Caballero (36'), Santacruz (69')
Veron (39'), Rivero (78')
rhs 2.0
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