Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 55.83%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 23.13% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.51%) and 1-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 1-2 (5.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.