Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 65.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 13.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.52%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (5.09%).