Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 11
May 5, 2024 at 2pm UK
Parque Federico Omar Saroldi
River Plate2 - 3Cerro Largo
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between River Plate and Cerro Largo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Penarol 3-0 River Plate
Tuesday, April 30 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Tuesday, April 30 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
13
Last Game: Cerro Largo 2-0 Boston River
Saturday, April 27 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, April 27 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
10
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 36.09%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.43%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest River Plate win was 1-0 (12.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerro Largo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Cerro Largo |
34.66% ( 0.22) | 29.25% ( 0.01) | 36.09% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 44.17% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
