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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Romania national football team
Nations League | League C
Sep 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadionul Steaua, Bucuresti
Lithuania national football team

Romania
3 - 1
Lithuania

Mihaila (4'), Marin (87' pen.), Mitrita (90+2')
Mihaila (65'), Tarnovanu (78'), Hagi (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kucys (34')
Matulevicius (8'), Lekiatas (46'), Slivka (53'), Jankauskas (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Nations League clash between Romania and Lithuania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Romania

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Kosovo 0-3 Romania
Friday, September 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Lithuania

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Lithuania 0-1 Cyprus
Friday, September 6 at 5pm in Nations League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

We said: Romania 3-0 Lithuania

 Romania were famed more for their defensive solidity under Iordanescu, but it was their attacking play that caught the eye in Pristina, and Lithuania could face a similar wrath here. The visitors slumped to a poor home defeat to open the campaign and there is nothing to suggest that they can spring a huge surprise here to lift themselves off the bottom of the standings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 47.58%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 24.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Lithuania win it was 0-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Romania would win this match.

Result
RomaniaDrawLithuania
47.58% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02) 27.42% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 24.99% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 44.95% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.33% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)59.66% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.02% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)79.98% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Romania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.83% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)25.16% (0.022000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.11% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)59.88% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Lithuania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.07% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)39.93% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.41% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)76.58% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Romania 47.58%
    Lithuania 24.99%
    Draw 27.41%
RomaniaDrawLithuania
1-0 @ 13.86% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.56% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-1 @ 8.78% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
3-0 @ 4.4% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 4.04% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.85% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.39% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 47.58%
1-1 @ 12.72%
0-0 @ 10.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.03% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 27.41%
0-1 @ 9.23% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.84% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.79%
0-3 @ 1.3% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 24.99%

How you voted: Romania vs Lithuania

Romania
91.0%
Draw
6.0%
Lithuania
3.0%
134
Head to Head
Nov 17, 2018 7.45pm
League Phase
Romania
3-0
Lithuania
Puscas (7'), Keseru (47'), Stanciu (65')
Bancu (25'), Puscas (35'), Anton (81'), Deac (82')

Novikovas (44'), Girdvainis (78')
Novikovas (88')
Oct 11, 2018 7.45pm
League Phase
Lithuania
1-2
Romania
Zulpa (89')
Slivka (69')
Chipciu (13'), Maxim (94')
Anton (32'), Chipciu (45'), Marin (85')
rhs 2.0
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