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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 35.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.
Result | ||
Rotherham United | Draw | Lincoln City |
37.63% ( 0.37) | 27.29% ( -0.29) | 35.07% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 49.93% ( 0.9) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.42% ( 1.13) | 55.58% ( -1.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.25% ( 0.91) | 76.75% ( -0.91) |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.45% ( 0.77) | 28.55% ( -0.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.66% ( 0.95) | 64.34% ( -0.95) |
Lincoln City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.88% ( 0.51) | 30.12% ( -0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.74% ( 0.61) | 66.26% ( -0.61) |
Score Analysis |
Rotherham United | Draw | Lincoln City |
1-0 @ 10.77% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 6.76% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.69% Total : 37.63% | 1-1 @ 12.93% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 8.6% ( -0.38) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.29% | 0-1 @ 10.31% ( -0.31) 1-2 @ 7.76% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.48% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.34% Total : 35.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 53 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 50 | 27 | 23 | 51 |
3 | Wrexham | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 37 | 18 | 19 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 47 |
5 | Barnsley | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 42 |
6 | Reading | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 41 |
7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 37 |
9 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 37 |
10 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 37 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 34 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
13 | Stevenage | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 31 |
14 | Exeter CityExeter | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 31 |
15 | Blackpool | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 30 |
16 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 28 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 27 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 26 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 25 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 25 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 20 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 17 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 17 |
24 | Burton Albion | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 14 |
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