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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 22
Jan 25, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadyum Samsun

Samsunspor
2 - 0
Kayserispor

Yavru (10'), Kara (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Samsunspor and Kayserispor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fenerbahce 1-1 Samsunspor
Sunday, January 21 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kayserispor 0-1 Istanbulspor
Monday, January 22 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Samsunspor 2-1 Kayserispor

While the visitors have enjoyed the much stronger first half to the season, it is the Samsunspor who come into the game with momentum, while Kayserispor are quickly dropping down the table, and we see their trajectories continuing with a home victory on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samsunspor win with a probability of 61.77%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Kayserispor had a probability of 17.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Kayserispor win it was 0-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Samsunspor would win this match.

Result
SamsunsporDrawKayserispor
61.77% (0.014000000000003 0.01) 21.17% (-0.012 -0.01) 17.06% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 52.24% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.66% (0.051000000000002 0.05)44.34% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.29% (0.049999999999997 0.05)66.71% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Samsunspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.18% (0.024000000000001 0.02)13.82% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.84% (0.042000000000002 0.04)41.16% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Kayserispor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.62% (0.027999999999999 0.03)39.38% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.92% (0.024000000000001 0.02)76.08% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Samsunspor 61.76%
    Kayserispor 17.06%
    Draw 21.16%
SamsunsporDrawKayserispor
1-0 @ 10.76% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.65% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.93%
3-0 @ 7.03%
3-1 @ 6.55% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 3.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.05% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.51% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.38% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 61.76%
1-1 @ 10.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.44% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.63% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.16%
0-1 @ 5.07% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.68%
0-2 @ 2.36% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 1.45% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.44% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 17.06%

How you voted: Samsunspor vs Kayserispor

Samsunspor
87.5%
Draw
8.3%
Kayserispor
4.2%
24
Head to Head
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray15132042182441
2Fenerbahce16113240152536
3Samsunspor1592429171229
4EyupsporEyupspor177642518727
5Goztepe SKGoztepe SK157442821725
6BesiktasBesiktas157442417725
7Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul156452521422
8AntalyasporAntalyaspor156362026-621
9KonyasporKonyaspor165561823-520
10Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor156271622-620
11KasimpasaKasimpasa154742021-119
12GaziantepGaziantep155372024-418
13SivassporSivasspor165382027-718
14AlanyasporAlanyaspor154561518-317
15TrabzonsporTrabzonspor153752322116
16KayserisporKayserispor153661527-1215
17Bodrumspor154291221-914
18Hatayspor151681324-119
19Adana Demirspor1512121235-232


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