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Championship | Gameweek 22
Dec 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Blackburn logo

Southampton
4 - 0
Blackburn

Edozie (44'), Armstrong (64'), Mara (90+7'), Alcaraz (90+9')
Downes (37'), Smallbone (67'), Aribo (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Brittain (26'), Szmodics (67'), Carter (90+10')
Brittain (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Southampton and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coventry 1-1 Southampton
Wednesday, December 13 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 2-1 Bristol City
Tuesday, December 12 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Southampton 3-1 Blackburn Rovers

Blackburn make the long trip to the South Coast sensing that there is an opportunity to make real headway up the table and into the playoff mix. However, Southampton are due a clinical performance and we feel that may come against opponents who have suffered 10 defeats in 21 league matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 45.64%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.99%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawBlackburn Rovers
45.64% (-0.755 -0.76) 22.92% (0.146 0.15) 31.44% (0.609 0.61)
Both teams to score 63.81% (-0.20099999999999 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.88% (-0.403 -0.4)37.12% (0.403 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.68% (-0.438 -0.44)59.32% (0.438 0.44)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.29% (-0.438 -0.44)16.71% (0.439 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.39% (-0.793 -0.79)46.61% (0.793 0.79)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.62% (0.163 0.16)23.38% (-0.161 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.63% (0.234 0.23)57.36% (-0.234 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 45.64%
    Blackburn Rovers 31.44%
    Draw 22.92%
SouthamptonDrawBlackburn Rovers
2-1 @ 9.09% (-0.046000000000001 -0.05)
1-0 @ 6.99% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.25% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.42% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-2 @ 3.94% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.73% (-0.093 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.42% (-0.085 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.76% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.67% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 45.64%
1-1 @ 10.16% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.6% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 3.91% (0.076 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.91% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 22.92%
1-2 @ 7.38% (0.107 0.11)
0-1 @ 5.68% (0.137 0.14)
0-2 @ 4.13% (0.119 0.12)
1-3 @ 3.58% (0.069 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.2% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 2% (0.067 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.3% (0.031 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.16% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 31.44%

How you voted: Southampton vs Blackburn

Southampton
68.2%
Draw
18.2%
Blackburn Rovers
13.6%
22
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2005 3pm
Blackburn
3-0
Southampton
Reid (55'), Gamst Pedersen (11'), Jakobsson (48' og.)
Emerton (50'), Reid (74')

Camara (30')
Aug 21, 2004 3pm
Southampton
3-2
Blackburn
Svensson (74'), Phillips (32'), Beattie (90' pen.)
Ferguson (50')
Ferguson (82'), Johansson (90')
Feb 28, 2004 3pm
Oct 25, 2003 3pm
Southampton
2-0
Blackburn
Beattie (59'), Griffit (87')

Todd (60')
Cole (65')
Feb 8, 2003 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Millwall257992423130
14Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
15Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
16Queens Park RangersQPR2561182733-629
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2574142642-1625
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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