Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 52.44%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 24.94% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Southampton win was 2-1 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.