Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sportivo Ameliano win with a probability of 49.3%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Rayo Zuliano had a probability of 24.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sportivo Ameliano win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Rayo Zuliano win it was 0-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sportivo Ameliano in this match.