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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 56.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 19.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
56.66% ( -0.68) | 23.51% ( -0.13) | 19.83% ( 0.81) |
Both teams to score 49.89% ( 1.68) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.97% ( 1.56) | 50.03% ( -1.57) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.99% ( 1.38) | 72% ( -1.38) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.54% ( 0.33) | 17.46% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.07% ( 0.56) | 47.92% ( -0.57) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.44% ( 1.8) | 39.55% ( -1.8) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.76% ( 1.62) | 76.24% ( -1.63) |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
1-0 @ 12.05% ( -0.64) 2-0 @ 10.51% ( -0.45) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.68% Total : 56.65% | 1-1 @ 11.17% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.45) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.25) Other @ 0.9% Total : 23.5% | 0-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.35% Total : 19.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 53 |
2 | Burnley | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 52 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 52 |
4 | Sunderland | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 50 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 40 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 39 |
8 | Bristol City | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 37 |
9 | Watford | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 36 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 34 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 32 |
14 | Millwall | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 30 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 29 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 28 |
18 | Derby CountyDerby | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 27 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 27 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 25 |
21 | Portsmouth | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 23 |
22 | Hull City | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 23 |
23 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 23 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 24 | 53 | -29 | 20 |
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