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Championship | Gameweek 32
Feb 14, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
QPR logo

Stoke
1 - 0
QPR

Burger (45')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hayden (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 3-1 Stoke
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 2-2 Norwich
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-2 Queens Park Rangers

Stoke defender Wilmot said that the Potters' dressing room is not a nice place to be amid their recent struggles - an admission that does not bode well ahead of a relegation six-pointer on Wednesday. QPR have been boosted by a number of additions in the January window, and we believe that the R's will escape the bottom three with a win in Staffordshire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 36.67%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (10.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stoke City in this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawQueens Park Rangers
36.67% (0.064999999999998 0.06) 27.68% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 35.64% (-0.055 -0.05)
Both teams to score 48.77% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.95% (0.041000000000004 0.04)57.05% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.06% (0.033000000000001 0.03)77.94% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.15% (0.061000000000007 0.06)29.85% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.07% (0.071999999999996 0.07)65.93% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.51% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)30.49% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.3% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)66.7% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 36.67%
    Queens Park Rangers 35.64%
    Draw 27.67%
Stoke CityDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 11%
2-1 @ 7.9% (0.011 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.65% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.18% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.68% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.89% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.96% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 36.67%
1-1 @ 13.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.1% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.67%
0-1 @ 10.8% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.76% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.42% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.54% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.86% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 35.64%

How you voted: Stoke vs QPR

Stoke City
21.6%
Draw
9.9%
Queens Park Rangers
68.5%
111
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
QPR
4-2
Stoke
Dykes (11' pen., 79'), Pearson (89' og.), Willock (90+4')
Colback (86'), Begovic (90+6')
Mmaee (45'), Burger (59')
Stevens (10'), Burger (19'), Campbell (56'), Mmaee (56'), Gooch (74'), Johnson (81')
Stevens (53')
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Stoke
0-1
QPR
Adomah (48')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 11
QPR
0-0
Stoke
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 44
Stoke
1-0
QPR
Brown (45+1')

Dunne (13')
Dec 5, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
QPR
0-2
Stoke
Campbell (14'), Vrancic (78')
Fox (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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