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Championship | Gameweek 32
Feb 14, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
QPR logo

Stoke
1 - 0
QPR

Burger (45')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hayden (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 3-1 Stoke
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 2-2 Norwich
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-2 Queens Park Rangers

Stoke defender Wilmot said that the Potters' dressing room is not a nice place to be amid their recent struggles - an admission that does not bode well ahead of a relegation six-pointer on Wednesday. QPR have been boosted by a number of additions in the January window, and we believe that the R's will escape the bottom three with a win in Staffordshire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 36.67%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (10.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stoke City in this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawQueens Park Rangers
36.67% (0.064999999999998 0.06) 27.68% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 35.64% (-0.055 -0.05)
Both teams to score 48.77% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.95% (0.041000000000004 0.04)57.05% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.06% (0.033000000000001 0.03)77.94% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.15% (0.061000000000007 0.06)29.85% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.07% (0.071999999999996 0.07)65.93% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.51% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)30.49% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.3% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)66.7% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 36.67%
    Queens Park Rangers 35.64%
    Draw 27.67%
Stoke CityDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 11%
2-1 @ 7.9% (0.011 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.65% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.18% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.68% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.89% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.96% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 36.67%
1-1 @ 13.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.1% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.67%
0-1 @ 10.8% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.76% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.42% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.54% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.86% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 35.64%

How you voted: Stoke vs QPR

Stoke City
21.6%
Draw
9.9%
Queens Park Rangers
68.5%
111
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
QPR
4-2
Stoke
Dykes (11' pen., 79'), Pearson (89' og.), Willock (90+4')
Colback (86'), Begovic (90+6')
Mmaee (45'), Burger (59')
Stevens (10'), Burger (19'), Campbell (56'), Mmaee (56'), Gooch (74'), Johnson (81')
Stevens (53')
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Stoke
0-1
QPR
Adomah (48')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 11
QPR
0-0
Stoke
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 44
Stoke
1-0
QPR
Brown (45+1')

Dunne (13')
Dec 5, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
QPR
0-2
Stoke
Campbell (14'), Vrancic (78')
Fox (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley126511751223
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
8Bristol City134721717019
9Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
10Middlesbrough135351415-118
11Millwall124441512316
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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