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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 47.38%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sunderland | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
47.38% ( 0.06) | 23.71% ( -0.15) | 28.91% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 59.39% ( 0.56) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.73% ( 0.72) | 42.27% ( -0.72) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.33% ( 0.71) | 64.67% ( -0.72) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.96% ( 0.3) | 18.04% ( -0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.07% ( 0.52) | 48.93% ( -0.52) |
Blackburn Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.46% ( 0.42) | 27.54% ( -0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.95% ( 0.53) | 63.05% ( -0.54) |
Score Analysis |
Sunderland | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.3% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.65% Total : 47.38% | 1-1 @ 10.97% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.71% | 1-2 @ 7.07% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.41% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.9% Total : 28.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 53 |
2 | Burnley | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 52 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 52 |
4 | Sunderland | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 50 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 40 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 39 |
8 | Watford | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 38 |
9 | Bristol City | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 36 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 34 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 32 |
14 | Millwall | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 30 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 29 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 29 |
18 | Derby CountyDerby | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 27 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 27 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 25 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 24 |
22 | Portsmouth | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 23 |
23 | Hull City | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 23 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 54 | -29 | 21 |
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